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	<title>somewhat-hypothesis.com &#187; Science</title>
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	<description>more or less :: explanations for certain observations</description>
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		<title>There&#8217;s no way in hell that I am making this up</title>
		<link>http://somewhat-hypothesis.com/2009/01/06/theres-no-way-in-hell-that-i-am-making-this-up/</link>
		<comments>http://somewhat-hypothesis.com/2009/01/06/theres-no-way-in-hell-that-i-am-making-this-up/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 06 Jan 2009 16:09:22 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>colson</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Health]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Regulation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Science]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[public policy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[second hand smoke]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[smoking]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[third hand smoke]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://somewhat-hypothesis.com/2009/01/06/theres-no-way-in-hell-that-i-am-making-this-up/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[










clipped from www.nytimes.com







A New Cigarette Hazard: ‘Third-Hand Smoke’






That’s the term being used to describe the invisible yet toxic brew of gases and particles clinging to smokers’ hair and clothing, not to mention cushions and carpeting, that lingers long after second-hand smoke has cleared from a room. The residue includes heavy metals, carcinogens and even radioactive [...]]]></description>
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<td valign="top"><a title="clipmarks' clip-to-blog" href="http://clipmarks.com/clip-to-blog/"><img style="vertical-align: middle; margin: 0px 4px; display: inline; border: none; float:none;" src="http://content.clipmarks.com/blog_icon/e6f060ba-5a94-429b-9593-f1093773e4ff/C02850F7-7784-4161-B264-5B68F65AD575/" border="0" alt="" width="19" height="19" /></a>clipped from <a style="font-size: 11px;" title="http://www.nytimes.com/2009/01/03/health/research/03smoke.html?_r=1&amp;em" href="http://www.nytimes.com/2009/01/03/health/research/03smoke.html?_r=1&amp;em">www.nytimes.com</a></td>
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<td valign="top"><!-- CLIPPED FROM: http://www.nytimes.com/2009/01/03/health/research/03smoke.html?_r=1&#038;em --><br />
A New Cigarette Hazard: ‘Third-Hand Smoke’</td>
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<td valign="top"><!-- CLIPPED FROM: http://www.nytimes.com/2009/01/03/health/research/03smoke.html?_r=1&#038;em -->That’s the term being used to describe the invisible yet toxic brew of gases and particles clinging to smokers’ hair and clothing, not to mention cushions and carpeting, that lingers long after <a title="In-depth reference and news articles about Smoking and smokeless tobacco." href="http://health.nytimes.com/health/guides/specialtopic/smoking-and-smokeless-tobacco/overview.html?inline=nyt-classifier">second-hand smoke</a> has cleared from a room. The residue includes heavy metals, carcinogens and even radioactive materials that young children can get on their hands and ingest, especially if they’re crawling or playing on the floor.</td>
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<td valign="top"><!-- CLIPPED FROM: http://www.nytimes.com/2009/01/03/health/research/03smoke.html?_r=1&#038;em -->Doctors from MassGeneral Hospital for Children in Boston coined the term “third-hand smoke” to describe these chemicals in a new study that focused on the risks they pose to infants and children. The study was published in this month’s issue of the journal Pediatrics.</td>
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<td valign="top"><!-- CLIPPED FROM: http://www.nytimes.com/2009/01/03/health/research/03smoke.html?_r=1&#038;em -->“Everyone knows that second-hand smoke is bad, but they don’t know about this,” said Dr. Jonathan P. Winickoff, the lead author of the study and an assistant professor of <a title="Recent and archival health news about pediatrics." href="http://topics.nytimes.com/top/news/health/diseasesconditionsandhealthtopics/pediatrics/index.html?inline=nyt-classifier">pediatrics</a> at Harvard Medical School.</td>
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<div>What will they think of next? 3^n-hand smoking? This article is so comical, so underhanded and so repulsive that it defies all logic. It is beyond reason and delving into a waste of scientific time to even ponder such questions.</div>
<div>But just in case, I&#8217;ll tell you everything you need to know:</div>
<div>Can we stop treating smoking as &#8220;the worst thing ever&#8221; and get on with our lives? Here&#8217;s the subtle reality and how you know this story is, for lack of a better word, bullshit -</div>
<div>
<ol>
<li>1st rule of epidemiology: it is the dose that makes the poison, not the poison that makes the dose. (ok, maybe it isn&#8217;t 1st, but it is a major rule)</li>
<li>You come into contact with an equally significant set of potential toxins every  single day. That new car smell you love? Toxic. Paint vapors? toxic. Everything is toxic at some level.</li>
<li>The researcher is quoted to the effect of your brain tells you that the smell is toxic because it essentially isn&#8217;t pleasing.  Your brain isn&#8217;t telling you anything at all aside from what you like or dislike.</li>
<li>The cited study is, for lack of a better word, missing some important details &#8211; specifically why the introduced a single factor without weighing potentially significant things like whether a mother smoked while pregnant. As the good Dr. Siegel <a href="http://www.haloscan.com/tb/mbsiegel/8176106025299772346/">over here </a>points out:<br />
<blockquote><p>The authors of the study acknowledge that because of its cross-sectional nature and these other issues, this study is not sufficient to draw a causal conclusion. They also acknowledge that there is no known biologic mechanism by which post-natal ETS exposure could lead to neurologic damage. Nevertheless, this acknowledgment does not appear to stop the authors from drawing such a causal conclusion anyway</p></blockquote>
</li>
</ol>
<p>The anti-tobacco crowd has long outlived its welcome. Fanatics have spoiled what should be a responsible discussion on public health policy by winning the argument and sparing no expense to rub it in. The problem is that many scientists and doctors of otherwise distinguished credentials have become biased by their own perceptions and ignorance of common logical fallacies in the statements, and studies, they participate in.</p>
<p>Omaha&#8217;s MOTAC, The American Lung Foundation, the American Cancer Society, Americans for Non-Smokers Rights &#8211; have all made dubious claims in the media using flawed studies, slanted data and ignorance predation.</p></div>
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		<title>Axelrod&#8217;s Crystal Balls.</title>
		<link>http://somewhat-hypothesis.com/2008/12/29/axelrods-crystal-balls/</link>
		<comments>http://somewhat-hypothesis.com/2008/12/29/axelrods-crystal-balls/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 29 Dec 2008 19:31:37 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>colson</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Economics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Education]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[From the Left]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Government]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Markets]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Science]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://somewhat-hypothesis.com/?p=208</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[LA Times runs an article where David Axelrod, an Obama advisor states:
Appearing on NBC&#8217;s &#8220;Meet the Press,&#8221; David Axelrod, a senior advisor to Obama, said, &#8220;We have to act. Every economist from left to right agrees that we have to do something big in terms of job creation, but we want to do it in [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<!-- sphereit start --><p>LA Times<a href="http://www.latimes.com/news/politics/la-na-obama-stimulus29-2008dec29,0,3089511.story"> runs an article</a> where David Axelrod, an Obama advisor states:</p>
<blockquote><p>Appearing on NBC&#8217;s &#8220;Meet the Press,&#8221; David Axelrod, a senior advisor to Obama, said, &#8220;We have to act. Every economist from left to right agrees that we have to do something big in terms of job creation, but we want to do it in a way that will leave a lasting footprint.&#8221;</p></blockquote>
<p>I bet I can think of at least <a href="http://www.cafehayek.com/">two economists who disagree</a> with Axelrod&#8217;s assumption. And there are a host of other economists who disagree, whether they view the Austrian tradition in a positive/negative light.</p>
<p>The problem here is that our new administration is posturing this as a Global Warming-type &#8220;scientific consensus&#8221; issue that has already been used and beat into the ground. I&#8217;m sure Axelrod will start backpedaling and trying to reign in the comment with something to the effect of &#8220;the best economists&#8221; or the &#8220;brightest economists&#8221; to properly qualify the statement. Unfortunately, those definitions would be at the sole discretion of Axelrod and only as qualified as Axelrod is to determine who is the best and brightest.</p>
<p>The problem is that we don&#8217;t turn to scientific study to determine what the future is. We infer from the data that we have in an attempt to predict, with some reasonable probability, of future events.  There is a significant difference.  Prediction carries the inherent possibility of chance &#8211; the product or outcome of the unexpected is a distinct probability.</p>
<p>With this in mind, an economist&#8217;s opinion is only that &#8211; the opinion of the scientist. To assume an economist can predict the future with any certainty, which Axelrod appears willing to assume through the &#8220;consensus&#8221; opinion, is nothing short of malarky. If you believe that an economist knows the future any better than a carnival fortune teller, you are sadly mistaken.</p>
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		<title>Skulls confirm we&#8217;re all out of Africa</title>
		<link>http://somewhat-hypothesis.com/2007/07/19/skulls-confirm-were-all-out-of-africa/</link>
		<comments>http://somewhat-hypothesis.com/2007/07/19/skulls-confirm-were-all-out-of-africa/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 19 Jul 2007 15:33:05 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>colson</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Religion]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Science]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[Skulls confirm we&#8217;re all out of Africa 
Unfortunately, God could not be reached for comment.
]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<!-- sphereit start --><p><a href="http://www.reuters.com/article/scienceNews/idUSL1885586220070719">Skulls confirm we&#8217;re all out of Africa </a></p>
<p>Unfortunately, God could not be reached for comment.</p>
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