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more or less :: explanations for certain observations

Archive for March, 2009

Wait for it… wait for it…

Shit, if this is gonna be that kind of party, I’m gonna stick my dick in the mashed potatoes” – cred

With all of the hubbub over AIG’s executive pay, you’d think the dipshits at CNN and in the media would at least have half a brain to stop and think about what they are reporting. Then again, it’s all being fed by dipshits in Congress.

The money quote of the day:

“Schumer: AIG employees should return bonuses or face high tax”

I don’t know about Schumer, but the last time I looked at my bonus check, withholding was running me around 40% on bonus monies. So for all of the wanton raving and frothing and foaming at the mouth, the government is going to get most of this money back – just not in the way it expected. Of course, a $600k after-tax bonus would be nice in my bank account. Then again, I don’t really want to pay that person’s tax bill.

So I’m guessing the bullshit on Capitol Hill will only get deeper as they rush to pass yet-another-dumb-stupid-stupid-stupid law that will have even more dire consequences than the prior law. Unfortunately, Congress is going to have to really cross the line on this one by singling out a single company.

The only thing that pisses me off even more is those who support these maniacal bailouts. You have absolutely no reason to expect an idealistic outcome when reality (and a ton of real coo-coo for coco-puffs libertarians) told you the outcome was going to be bad. Economics 101 people. Come on.

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Burning Grey Matter

So after my post on March 6, I went into a few more trades. I ended up at $999 for about five minutes with nothing open. I thought I saw an opportunity and jumped on it only to have it go backwards on me fast. I’ve just spent the past 4 trading days trying to catch up. At one point, my total equity in my account was down to ~$650 – nearly $340 loss. I was attempting to try out a new hedging strategy that almost ate me alive.

I was hedging hard, long on the USD/JPY and holding ground. A few stupid mistakes and I was at close to $750 in equity when I started trading tonight. Still down but better than where I was. It has take me about 4 hours of hard trading. My problem is that I was carrying two very heavy, negative trades. So I switched my strategy. I sucked it up and closed down almost 400 pips in losses (over $400). I had open trades going on so my equity wasn’t in that bad of a situation. As I was bouncing around the charts, I noticed I was sitting on the falling side of a right-shoulder so I went to all short on the USD/JPY. After riding it out and resisting temptation, it finally paid off.

So. As of today, I am out of the market with a total balance of:  $1014.01

That puts me at a total return since February of 14.18% – only ~4% this week.

My head hurts.

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  • The Joke Gets Funny

    clipped from www.washingtonpost.com


    DETROIT (Reuters) – General Motors Corp <GM.N> on Thursday said its auditors had raised “substantial doubt” about its ability to survive outside bankruptcy if it fails to stem its losses and stop burning cash. The “going concern” warning from the struggling U.S. automaker had been expected, but underscored the stakes for GM as it seeks up to $30 billion in U.S. government aid to restructure outside a court-supervised bankruptcy process.

      blog it
    The hilarity ensues when GM, recipient of bailout funds reportedly being used to keep it out of bankruptcy, is now poised to trip through the door of the bankruptcy court. Oops.

    This is exactly why the government should not be bailing anyone out. And now auditors are telling us what the business community has known for quite a few months now: GM’s cash burn rate is extremely high. GM should have went into bankruptcy months ago and bailout funds have done little to change the short-term prognosis of the company. So tax payers paid a huge chunk of change to push back bankruptcy by a few months. It’s funny. Hilarious.
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  • Good Ol’ Miltie

    Milton Friedman at his Best

    clipped from abcnews.go.com
    Upper-Income Taxpayers Look for Ways to Sidestep Obama Tax-Hike Plan

    President Would Slap More Taxes on Those Who Make Over $250K to Fund Health Care


    A 63-year-old attorney based in Lafayette, La., who asked not to be named, told ABCNews.com that she plans to cut back on her business to get her annual income under the quarter million mark should the Obama tax plan be passed by Congress and become law.


    Obama’s budget proposal calls for $989 billion in new taxes over the next 10 years, most of which will be earned from increased taxes on individuals who make more than $200,000 and from families who make more than $250,000.


    Dr. Sharon Poczatek, who runs her own dental practice in Boulder, Colo., said that she too is trying to figure out ways to get out of paying the taxes proposed in Obama’s plan.


    “I’ve put thought into how to get under $250,000,” said Poczatek. “It would mean working fewer days which means having fewer employees, seeing fewer patients and taking time off.”

      blog it
    We can already see the effects of Obama’s tax plan on the most productive people in the nation – They’re looking at ways to be less productive.

    While some economists and others balk at the Reagan-era Laffer curve, you can actually watch it happen in slow motion. When you tax the living crap out of people, they will eventually become less productive. The incentive – more money – begins to lose value.

    This was a mistake done during the end of the 1920s and into the 1930s Hoover jumped the tax rate up beyond belief and FDR did very little during his Presidential tenure to help the most productive become even more productive.
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